Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002648 0.002828 0.003022 0.003247 0.003505 0.003793 0.004142
2024-12-22 0.002408 0.002656 0.002941 0.003296 0.003737 0.004277 0.005009
2024-12-29 0.002248 0.002540 0.002890 0.003352 0.003964 0.004780 0.006018
2025-01-05 0.002080 0.002388 0.002768 0.003290 0.004018 0.005055 0.006785
2025-01-12 0.001927 0.002236 0.002627 0.003177 0.003975 0.005172 0.007334
2025-01-19 0.001838 0.002157 0.002569 0.003167 0.004068 0.005503 0.008357
2025-01-26 0.001693 0.001994 0.002385 0.002960 0.003839 0.005268 0.008216
2025-02-02 0.001644 0.001955 0.002366 0.002984 0.003966 0.005655 0.009515
2025-02-09 0.001624 0.001950 0.002392 0.003077 0.004213 0.006311 0.011846
2025-02-16 0.001581 0.001913 0.002370 0.003091 0.004329 0.006745 0.013961
2025-02-23 0.001572 0.001920 0.002409 0.003206 0.004638 0.007676 0.018897
2025-03-02 0.001518 0.001862 0.002350 0.003154 0.004630 0.007888 0.021368
2025-03-09 0.001459 0.001797 0.002281 0.003090 0.004606 0.008099 0.024648
2025-03-16 0.001435 0.001783 0.002287 0.003153 0.004849 0.009115 0.037485
2025-03-23 0.001412 0.001767 0.002290 0.003211 0.005093 0.010290 0.067156
2025-03-30 0.001365 0.001714 0.002233 0.003156 0.005083 0.010662 0.098451
2025-04-06 0.001312 0.001649 0.002153 0.003052 0.004948 0.010552 0.118150
2025-04-13 0.001281 0.001618 0.002124 0.003042 0.005028 0.011289 0.323628
2025-04-20 0.001215 0.001530 0.002002 0.002849 0.004655 0.010133 0.151730
2025-04-27 0.001196 0.001514 0.001995 0.002873 0.004801 0.011115 1.340769
2025-05-04 0.001192 0.001519 0.002020 0.002959 0.005118 0.013120 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001174 0.001501 0.002009 0.002972 0.005253 0.014442 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001173 0.001511 0.002043 0.003079 0.005664 0.018009 NaN